Opinion

Crude oil and copper evolutions

Oil price trying to overpass the USD 70 price level

According to Marek Paciorkowski – Director of Financial Markets, Aforti Exchange SA, the oil price is slightly going up, due to a cut in output by Saudi Arabia, which, despite the declarations of increasing the extraction, in July 2018 reduced the level of production to 10,3 million barrels per day (b/d), which is a decrease by 189 thousand b/d compared to June 2018. The entry into force of the first round of US sanctions on Iraq had also significant influence on the oil price.

Finally, OIL.WTI (Oil West Texas Intermediate, grade of crude oil used as benchmark in oil pricing) quotation reached over USD 69 per barrel, while the Brent valuation increased to over USD 74 per barrel. “Other major changes in the oil market should be expected in the last quarter of 2018. In November 2018, another series of restrictions by the US are planned, targeting the Iranian oil and gas sector as well as the Iranian central bank,” the expert warns.

Crude oil evolution
Crude oil evolution

 

Overall, the oil price is still trying to overpass the USD 70,05 price level. However, already for the second time, the price level of 70 USD has caused the withdrawal of the growth trend and drop in the price. “We expect further attempts to growth the price and reach the medium-term barrier of USD 71,35 in the coming period,” Aforti Exchange representative concludes.

 

Copper market stabilizes

The tense situation on the copper market stabilised slightly after the prospect of the one-month long strike in the world’s largest Chilean mine, Escondida, was postponed – Marek Paciorkowski says.

Reaching the level of USD 275,50 (38,2% decrease) has stopped the further drops in the prices.

Over last week, copper lost in its value slightly but has nevertheless managed to defend its position of key support, which can result in the price increases in the following weeks. “We expect that the level of USD 300 can be reached in the coming period however under condition that the level of USD 275,50-277,20 will be maintained this week,” the expert noted.

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